الفهرس | Only 14 pages are availabe for public view |
Abstract Urban planning plays a crucial role in creating resilient human settlements. Rapid urbanization, driven by population growth and economic activities, leads to land use changes that impact various sectors of the urban economy. This causes environmental problems such as increasing demand for natural resources, waste generation, social services, infrastructure, jobs, transportation, and affordable housing. To address these challenges, the researcher uses urban metabolism and integrated environmental assessment to investigate the effects of urban growth on the environment. The researcher uses dynamic models to predict the repercussions of urban expansion on ecosystems. He has used secondary datasets and satellite imagery since 2005 to analyze changes in land use/land cover and stock-flow dynamics. Urbanization is driven by population growth and economic activities, with a youthful demographic intensifying natural resources. By 2050, the region’s population will reach 40.334 million, with job opportunities peaking at 28.2 million. The transportation sector will grow significantly with persons daily trips reaching about 151.02 million, respectively. The municipal waste sector will grow to 20 million tons in 2050 annually. Urban sprawl will increase carbon storage by 0.279 million Mg CO2e and diminish heat mitigation, causing increased air temperatures and risks of heat-related mortality and morbidity. The economic value of climate change in 2050 is estimated to be around 63 billion dollars, constituting around 0.0042 of the region’s GDP. The research highlights the detrimental effects of urban sprawl on human well-being and the overall quality of life in the region, prompting concerns about the region’s long-term sustainability. In light of these findings, it is imperative to systematically confront the root causes contributing to air quality deterioration and greenhouse gas emissions. The failure to address these issues may impede the GCR, from attaining carbon neutrality. Consequently, a paradigm shift in planning methodologies is needed to augment environmental and planning processes. Urban planners should incorporate dynamic modeling techniques and integrate urban planning education with environmental management, emphasizing the shared responsibility of governing bodies and local communities in maintaining environmental quality. |